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There are large recent residential developments in the northern part of this seat and cost of living and interest rates will be issues.
Husic will be lucky to win on first preferences this time,but no doubt will still be re elected.However residential development will make this seat less safe over time for the ALP.
Agree Sabena. Based on 2PP ALP for the win but he will lose votes. The Libs rarely provide a viable option for Chifley. It has forever been an ALP seat. Who knows what the conservative parties with rock up with on the day (UAP, PHON, LIB DEMS) , if they show at all. The previous GRN candidate is a newly elected Cumberland Councillor so he won’t be running.
This seat reminds me of Spence and Calwell – likely to take a haircut, maybe even enough to put it on the table in 2028 (if it’s a good cycle for the Liberals), probably more likely if Husic retires or something
ALP retain by 6-8% I’d say
The only way I see the Liberals ever being remotely competitive in this seat is if the boundaries change pretty dramatically.
Based on Blacktown and Mount Druitt? Provided they don’t pull a Fowler, I doubt Labor has anything to worry about.
classic labor seat this part of blacktown is solid fr labor results may vary but will never go liberal